Little Rock vs New Mexico: spread: New Mexico (-21.5)

New Mexico (-21.5)56%
Arkansas Little Rock Trojans (+21.5)45%

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Spread3%
ResolvesNov 13, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 10, 05:25 AMNov 10, 10:39 AMNov 10, 03:53 PMNov 10, 09:06 PM

No recorded data before Nov 10 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of New Mexico in the entire men's college basketball game between Little Rock and New Mexico scheduled for 2026-11-10 at 8:00 p.m. CT is above 21.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (New Mexico's score minus Little Rock's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Margin_Classdocx_0e17934c-24ae-4b91-99e3-4c46d7d5d741.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini uses NCAA/ESPN/Fox Sports/official broadcast as source hierarchy and has review-process language for cancellation/forfeiture/disqualification. Polymarket uses NCAA.com and specifies overtime counts plus a 50-50 no-result rule if the game is canceled or abandoned without an official result.
  • Geminithis market

    Little Rock vs New Mexico: spread: New Mexico (-21.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of New Mexico in the entire men's college basketball game between Little Rock and New Mexico scheduled for 2026-11-10 at 8:00 p.m. CT is above 21.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (New Mexico's score minus Little Rock's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Margin_Classdocx_0e17934c-24ae-4b91-99e3-4c46d7d5d741.pdf).

  • Little Rock Trojans vs New Mexico Lobos: spread: New Mexico Lobos (-21.5)

    In the upcoming CBB game between Little Rock Trojans and New Mexico Lobos, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "New Mexico Lobos" if the New Mexico Lobos win the game by 22 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Little Rock Trojans". The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

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As of Nov 10, 09:48 PM UTC