Will Trump golf on Nov 15, 2026?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Donald Trump golfs on Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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How this is resolved
A day counts if Roll Call Factbase's presidential calendar feed (https://media-cdn.factba.se/rss/json/trump/calendar-full.json) shows its "golf" value as true. A day also counts if a White House pool report or a Getty Images, Reuters Connect or AP Photos image unambiguously shows Donald Trump playing golf that day. Markets may resolve as soon as a day counts. Otherwise they resolve at expiration, 10:00 AM ET two days after the day (after Sunday for Not this weekend).
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As of Nov 10, 10:16 PM UTC