Set 1 Winner: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Alex Michelsen71%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo30%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$7.1K
Spread3%
ResolvesNov 17, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 9, 05:51 PMNov 9, 11:21 PMNov 10, 04:51 AMNov 10, 10:21 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Nov 9 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Alex Michelsen” if Alex Michelsen wins the first set. It will resolve to “Juan Manuel Cerundolo” if Juan Manuel Cerundolo wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.

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This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Both resolve on the first set winner using official ATP match statistics, with the same 50-50 fallback if the first set is not completed or the match is canceled/not begun by the stated deadline. No material difference in resolution criteria is published.
  • Polymarketthis market

    Set 1 Winner: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

    This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Alex Michelsen” if Alex Michelsen wins the first set. It will resolve to “Juan Manuel Cerundolo” if Juan Manuel Cerundolo wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

  • Set 1 Winner: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

    This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Alex Michelsen” if Alex Michelsen wins the first set. It will resolve to “Juan Manuel Cerundolo” if Juan Manuel Cerundolo wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

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As of Nov 10, 10:09 PM UTC