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Will Chris Van Hollen announce a presidential run?: Will Chris Van Hollen announce a run for President of the United States before Jun 1, 2027?

No59%
Before Jun 1, 202741%

Price checked at

24h volume$4
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2.1K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 8, 03:00 PMNov 9, 09:05 AMNov 10, 03:10 AMNov 10, 09:15 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Chris Van Hollen has announced that they will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jun 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

Read the full rules

The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.

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As of Nov 10, 09:36 PM UTC