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Will the Senate convict Pete Hegseth?: Will the Senate convict Pete Hegseth before 2028? Before Jan 1, 2028

No82%
Before Jan 1, 202818%

Price checked at

24h volume$5K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.1K
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 8, 05:00 PMNov 9, 10:25 AMNov 10, 03:50 AMNov 10, 09:15 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the U.S. Senate votes to convict Pete Hegseth on at least one article of impeachment after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Read the full rules

This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency before Jan 1, 2028.

The Senate convicts Pete Hegseth when at least two-thirds of the senators present vote guilty on at least one article of impeachment against him. A conviction vote counts whether or not he is still in office on the day of the vote.

The following do NOT count: A House vote to impeach him without a Senate conviction A Senate vote short of two-thirds, or a vote to dismiss or table the articles

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As of Nov 10, 09:31 PM UTC