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Next Senate Democratic Leader?: Will Elizabeth Warren win the next Senate Democratic Leader election?

No99%
Elizabeth Warren1%

Price checked at

24h volume$439
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2028next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 8, 08:00 PMNov 9, 12:23 PMNov 10, 04:47 AMNov 10, 09:11 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Elizabeth Warren wins the next Senate Democratic Leader election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Read the full rules

The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority. For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. For referendums, "Yes" and "No" are the options. For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) is the winner. Markets resolve based on official results, not exit polls or projections. If elections are postponed beyond the expiration date, markets resolve to No. Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction.

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As of Nov 10, 09:30 PM UTC