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Highest temperature in Chicago on Nov 9, 2026?: Will the maximum temperature be <55° on Nov 9, 2026? 54° or below

No99%
54° or below1%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

24h volume$2K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread100%
ResolvesNov 10, 20262 hours ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 8, 03:00 PMNov 9, 05:19 AMNov 9, 07:39 PMNov 10, 09:59 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Nov 9, 2026, is less than 55° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.

Read the full rules

Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.

Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.

If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.

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As of Nov 10, 09:42 PM UTC