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How many House Republicans will vote to impeach Pete Hegseth?: Will the number of Republican Representatives voting Yea on the first House vote on adopting a resolution or article impeaching Pete Hegseth be at least 8 before Jan 3, 2027?

No81%
At least 819%

Price checked at

24h volume$1.3K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread25%
ResolvesApr 3, 2027in 5 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 9, 05:58 AMNov 9, 07:32 PMNov 10, 09:06 AMNov 10, 10:41 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the number of Republican Representatives voting Yea on the first House vote on adopting a resolution or article impeaching Pete Hegseth is at least 8 before Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Read the full rules

The vote that counts is the first recorded House vote on adopting a resolution or an article of impeachment against Pete Hegseth, whether or not the House adopts it. If the articles are voted on separately, the vote on the first article counts.

Only Yea votes by Representatives listed as Republicans in the Clerk of the House's roll call for that vote count.

Does NOT count:

A vote on a motion to table, refer, postpone or otherwise dispose of an impeachment resolution, or on a special rule or the previous question A committee vote

If there is no such vote before Jan 3, 2027, the number is zero.

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As of Nov 10, 11:15 PM UTC