New England vs Detroit: spread: New England (-4.5)

Detroit (+4.5)74%
New England (-4.5)26%

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Spread6%
ResolvesNov 17, 2026in 6 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 9, 11:03 AMNov 9, 10:38 PMNov 10, 10:14 AMNov 10, 09:49 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of New England in the entire NFL game between New England and Detroit scheduled for 2026-11-15 at 8:30 a.m. CT is above 4.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (New England's score minus Detroit's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi settles on whether New England wins by more than 4.5 points in the listed game; Gemini uses the same score differential threshold for the same NFL game. They differ only in settlement timing and source/rules for fallback resolution, which do not change the question.
  • New England vs Detroit: Spread: spread: New England (-4.5)

    If New England wins by more than 4.5 points in the New England vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Geminithis market

    New England vs Detroit: spread: New England (-4.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of New England in the entire NFL game between New England and Detroit scheduled for 2026-11-15 at 8:30 a.m. CT is above 4.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (New England's score minus Detroit's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NFL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NFL_Spread_Class_0f39c9d8-cb86-45f3-b36d-48271846eff4.pdf).

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As of Nov 10, 09:56 PM UTC