Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions Winner: Kevin Yu

No99%
Yes2%

Price checked at

24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 16, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 9, 02:29 PMNov 10, 12:42 AMNov 10, 10:55 AMNov 10, 09:08 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Kevin Yu is officially declared the winner of the Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the governing body of the event (PGA Tour, DP World Tour, LPGA, Champions Tour, or LIV Golf), ESPN, Golf Channel, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/GOLF1_Terms_and_Conditionsdocx_f98d6428-608c-4943-b4ce-d340f2f61721.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Gemini specifies official declaration and a source hierarchy, while Kalshi states the win condition and includes special rules for pre-teeing-off forfeits/withdrawals. These differences do not change the underlying question being priced.
  • Geminithis market

    Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions Winner: Kevin Yu

    This market resolves to Yes if Kevin Yu is officially declared the winner of the Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the governing body of the event (PGA Tour, DP World Tour, LPGA, Champions Tour, or LIV Golf), ESPN, Golf Channel, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/GOLF1_Terms_and_Conditionsdocx_f98d6428-608c-4943-b4ce-d340f2f61721.pdf)

  • Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions Winner: Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions: Kevin Yu wins

    If Kevin Yu wins the Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions, then the market resolves to Yes. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate prior to teeing off, their contracts will resolve as follows: Tournament Winner and End of Round Leader markets will resolve to No Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball markets will resolve to Fair Market Value

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As of Nov 10, 09:42 PM UTC