Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions Winner: Matt Wallace

No—
Yes—

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ResolvesNov 16, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 8, 11:49 PMNov 9, 02:52 PMNov 10, 05:56 AMNov 10, 09:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Matt Wallace is officially declared the winner of the Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the governing body of the event (PGA Tour, DP World Tour, LPGA, Champions Tour, or LIV Golf), ESPN, Golf Channel, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/GOLF1_Terms_and_Conditionsdocx_f98d6428-608c-4943-b4ce-d340f2f61721.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini settles on the official declared winner, with a later resolvesAt timestamp and broader fallback rules for cancellation/forfeit/disqualification. Kalshi resolves Yes if Matt Wallace wins, with separate withdrawal/forfeit handling rules that do not change the underlying question.
  • Geminithis market

    Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions Winner: Matt Wallace

    This market resolves to Yes if Matt Wallace is officially declared the winner of the Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the governing body of the event (PGA Tour, DP World Tour, LPGA, Champions Tour, or LIV Golf), ESPN, Golf Channel, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/GOLF1_Terms_and_Conditionsdocx_f98d6428-608c-4943-b4ce-d340f2f61721.pdf)

  • Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions Winner: Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions: Matt Wallace wins

    If Matt Wallace wins the Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions, then the market resolves to Yes. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate prior to teeing off, their contracts will resolve as follows: Tournament Winner and End of Round Leader markets will resolve to No Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball markets will resolve to Fair Market Value

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As of Nov 10, 09:45 PM UTC