Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions Winner: Sam Stevens

No—
Yes—

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ResolvesNov 16, 2026in 5 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 10, 12:45 AMNov 10, 07:30 AMNov 10, 02:15 PMNov 10, 09:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Sam Stevens is officially declared the winner of the Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the governing body of the event (PGA Tour, DP World Tour, LPGA, Champions Tour, or LIV Golf), ESPN, Golf Channel, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/GOLF1_Terms_and_Conditionsdocx_f98d6428-608c-4943-b4ce-d340f2f61721.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only in settlement mechanics: Gemini uses a scheduled expiration date and a source hierarchy, while Polymarket adds tie, elimination, and an 'Other' outcome if an unlisted player wins. Kalshi resolves Yes if Sam Stevens wins and otherwise follows its own golfer-withdrawal rules, but the published criteria ask the same underlying winner question.
  • Geminithis market

    Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions Winner: Sam Stevens

    This market resolves to Yes if Sam Stevens is officially declared the winner of the Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions originally scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the governing body of the event (PGA Tour, DP World Tour, LPGA, Champions Tour, or LIV Golf), ESPN, Golf Channel, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a player forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/GOLF1_Terms_and_Conditionsdocx_f98d6428-608c-4943-b4ce-d340f2f61721.pdf)

  • Will Sam Stevens win the 2026 Austin Championship?

    This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Austin Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Austin Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Austin Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by November 21, 2026 at 7:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

  • Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions Winner: Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions: Sam Stevens wins

    If Sam Stevens wins the Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions, then the market resolves to Yes. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate prior to teeing off, their contracts will resolve as follows: Tournament Winner and End of Round Leader markets will resolve to No Finishing Position, Make the Cut, Head-to-Head, and 3-Ball markets will resolve to Fair Market Value

    read Nov 10, 08:43 PM UTC

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As of Nov 10, 09:20 PM UTC