Paul George player points escalator
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Each Yes contract pays per points recorded by Paul George in the Boston vs Milwaukee Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026. Each 2 points scored increases the payout by the following schedule: 0–1 points, $0.0000; 2–3, $0.0000; 4–5, $0.0005; 6–7, $0.0017; 8–9, $0.0040; 10–11, $0.0080; 12–13, $0.0138; 14–15, $0.0219; 16–17, $0.0327; 18–19, $0.0466; 20–21, $0.0640; 22–23, $0.0851; 24–25, $0.1105; 26–27, $0.1406; 28–29, $0.1756; 30–31, $0.2160; 32–33, $0.2621; 34–35, $0.3144; 36–37, $0.3732; 38–39, $0.4389; 40–41, $0.5120; 42–43, $0.5927; 44–45, $0.6814; 46–47, $0.7786; 48–49, $0.8847; and 50 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
Read the full rules
This is a scalar market. The Yes payout per contract shown above follows this calculation: Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (y / 50)^3) / 10000 y = min(50, max(0, 2 x floor(s / 2))) s = official player points
The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Zero scored points pays Yes $0.00.
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As of Nov 10, 09:44 PM UTC