Heineken Las Vegas Grand Prix Winner: Lando Norris

No89%
Yes11%

Price checked at

24h volume$2
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread0%
ResolvesDec 6, 2026in 26 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 8, 10:59 AMNov 9, 06:27 AMNov 10, 01:55 AMNov 10, 09:24 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if Lando Norris wins the Heineken Las Vegas Grand Prix scheduled for November 21, 2026 at 11:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the listed driver is replaced by a reserve or substitute driver between market creation and race start, the market will remain open and reference the reserve or substitute driver. If the race is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from FIA.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only in settlement details: PolymarketUs settles on FIA and uses a last-fair-market-price fallback if the race is rescheduled beyond two days, while Gemini uses its listed source hierarchy and market review process. The published criteria otherwise refer to the same event, same driver, and same win outcome.
  • Polymarket USthis market

    Heineken Las Vegas Grand Prix Winner: Lando Norris

    This market will settle to Yes if Lando Norris wins the Heineken Las Vegas Grand Prix scheduled for November 21, 2026 at 11:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the listed driver is replaced by a reserve or substitute driver between market creation and race start, the market will remain open and reference the reserve or substitute driver. If the race is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from FIA.

    read Nov 10, 04:51 PM UTC

  • Las Vegas Grand Prix Winner: Lando Norris

    This market resolves to Yes if Lando Norris is officially declared the winner of the Formula 1 Grand Prix originally scheduled for November 21, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (FIA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a driver forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

Venue activity

Read from the venue 5 hours ago
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As of Nov 10, 10:03 PM UTC