Evan Elder wins

No52%
Evan Elder48%

Price checked at

24h volume$5.5K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$434
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 15, 2026in 4 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 8, 12:00 AMNov 8, 10:48 PMNov 9, 09:36 PMNov 10, 08:24 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Evan Elder wins the Evan Elder vs Samuel Sanches professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Read the full rules

If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price.

This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi resolves draw/no contest to $0.50 and uses a fair-price settlement if the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours; SxBet says void condition is no contest and refers to its sport-specific betting rules. These are settlement-rule differences, not a different underlying question.
  • Kalshithis market

    Evan Elder wins

    If Evan Elder wins the Evan Elder vs Samuel Sanches professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Nov 10, 08:33 AM UTC

  • Evan Elder vs Samuel Sanches: Evan Elder wins

    12. Evan Elder / Samuel Sanches. Void condition: NO_CONTEST. SX Bet sport-specific betting rules apply.

    read Nov 10, 08:35 PM UTC

Venue activity

Read from the venue 13 hours ago
Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

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As of Nov 10, 09:14 PM UTC