Who will leave the Trump administration before Jul 2027?: Will Kevin Hassett leave the Trump administration before Jul 1, 2027?
No84%
Kevin Hassett17%
Price checked at
Prices have not been checked within the last hour.
24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread9%
ResolvesJul 1, 2027in 8 months
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Kevin Hassett leaves (or announces they will leave) the Trump administration after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Read the full rules
This market resolves when the departure is publicly announced by the person, the President, the White House or their agency, regardless of the effective date. Only announcements after Issuance count, and unconfirmed reports from unnamed officials do not.
Leaving the Trump administration means no longer holding any executive branch position; the Federal Reserve and federal courts are not part of it. For military officers, retirement or removal from their post counts, but reassignment does not. Leaving one role does not count if a move to, or keeping, another administration position is announced at the same time or earlier, such as Deputy Attorney General to Attorney General or Deputy Chief of Staff to Chief of Staff; a position announced afterward does not change the outcome. A departure taking effect at the end of the term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count.
If the person dies in office, contracts on them may resolve to the last fair price as determined by the Exchange.
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minute
Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.