Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita: Macy Chiasson wins

Bia Mesquita70%
Macy Chiasson30%

Price checked at

24h volume—
7d volume—
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Liquidity$0
Spread4%
Resolves—

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 8, 12:23 AMNov 8, 11:18 PMNov 9, 10:12 PMNov 10, 09:07 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

12. Macy Chiasson / Bia Mesquita. Void condition: NO_CONTEST. SX Bet sport-specific betting rules apply.

Sourcehttps://docs.sx.bet/user-guides/more/betting-rules

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. They differ only in resolution mechanics: Kalshi and Gemini specify different settlement times and different fair-price/cancellation rules, and Gemini cites news sources while SxBet references its generic betting rules. These do not change the underlying question of whether Macy Chiasson wins the fight.
  • Macy Chiasson wins

    If Macy Chiasson wins the Macy Chiasson vs Beatriz Mesquita professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Nov 10, 08:17 PM UTC

  • Chiasson vs Mesquita: Macy Chiasson

    This market resolves to Yes if Macy Chiasson wins the Chiasson vs Mesquita professional MMA fight scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

    read Nov 10, 12:07 PM UTC

  • SX Betthis market

    Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita: Macy Chiasson wins

    12. Macy Chiasson / Bia Mesquita. Void condition: NO_CONTEST. SX Bet sport-specific betting rules apply.

    read Nov 10, 08:33 PM UTC

Venue activity

Read from the venue 55 minutes ago
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As of Nov 10, 09:28 PM UTC