KalshiResolvedPart of a cross-venue question

Aaron Jones Sr. Receptions Escalator

No98%

Aaron Jones Sr.2%

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24h volume$711

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity$0

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ResolvesNov 10, 202617 hours ago

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Each Yes contract pays per reception by Aaron Jones Sr. in the Buffalo vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026. The Yes contracts pay based on this schedule: 0 receptions, $0.0000; 1, $0.0003; 2, $0.0029; 3, $0.0098; 4, $0.0233; 5, $0.0455; 6, $0.0787; 7, $0.1250; 8, $0.1865; 9, $0.2656; 10, $0.3644; 11, $0.4850; 12, $0.6297; 13, $0.8006; 14 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.

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This is a scalar market. The Yes payout per contract shown above follows this calculation: Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000 s = official receptions

The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout.

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The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Both use the same underlying stat and game, with no material difference in the published criteria for what counts as a reception. They differ only in payout structure and settlement framing, not in the event being measured.

Open
Aaron Jones Sr.: Receptions O/U 1.5
In the upcoming NFL football game between Bills and Vikings, scheduled for November 9 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Aaron Jones Sr. records more than 1.5 receptions in this game, and to "Under" if Aaron Jones Sr. records 1.5 or fewer receptions. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
this market
Aaron Jones Sr. Receptions Escalator
If Each Yes contract pays per reception by Aaron Jones Sr. in the Buffalo vs Minnesota Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026. The Yes contracts pay based on this schedule: 0 receptions, $0.0000; 1, $0.0003; 2, $0.0029; 3, $0.0098; 4, $0.0233; 5, $0.0455; 6, $0.0787; 7, $0.1250; 8, $0.1865; 9, $0.2656; 10, $0.3644; 11, $0.4850; 12, $0.6297; 13, $0.8006; 14 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes. This is a scalar market. The Yes payout per contract shown above follows this calculation: Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000 s = official receptions The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
read Nov 10, 08:48 AM UTC

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Read from the venue 12 hours ago

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