Virginia wins

Virginia99%
No1%

Price checked at

24h volume$395
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 11, 2026in 7 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 7, 11:23 PMNov 8, 10:46 PMNov 9, 10:09 PMNov 10, 09:32 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Virginia wins the Bucknell vs Virginia men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Read the full rules

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Gemini settles from the official result using a hierarchy of source agencies and may use a market outcome review process if the result cannot be determined; Kalshi settles on the official final result and uses fair price if the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours. These are settlement-rule differences only, not a different event or outcome.
  • Bucknell vs Virginia: Virginia wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Virginia wins the men's college basketball game between Virginia and Bucknell originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Win-Lose_Classdocx_893b1bbb-20f3-490c-81bb-650735bfb0f4.pdf)

  • Kalshithis market

    Virginia wins

    If Virginia wins the Bucknell vs Virginia men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Nov 10, 09:53 PM UTC

Venue activity

Read from the venue 17 minutes ago
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As of Nov 10, 10:10 PM UTC