Kentucky wins

No64%
Kentucky36%

Price checked at

24h volume$11.2K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2.5K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 11, 2026in 8 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 7, 11:12 PMNov 8, 10:19 PMNov 9, 09:25 PMNov 10, 08:31 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Kentucky wins the Kansas vs Kentucky men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Read the full rules

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

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Comparable, not identical. Gemini settles on the official result of the specified game at its stated expiration time, with source hierarchy and review-process language for cancellations/forfeits. Kalshi uses the official final result if the game starts within 48 hours; otherwise it resolves to fair price if cancelled or not started in time.
  • Kansas vs Kentucky: Kentucky wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Kentucky wins the men's college basketball game between Kentucky and Kansas originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Win-Lose_Classdocx_893b1bbb-20f3-490c-81bb-650735bfb0f4.pdf)

  • Kalshithis market

    Kentucky wins

    If Kentucky wins the Kansas vs Kentucky men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

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As of Nov 10, 09:21 PM UTC