Houston vs California: spread: Houston (-15.5)

Houston (-15.5)100%
California (+15.5)0%

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ResolvesNov 11, 2026in 4 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 8, 01:04 AMNov 8, 09:58 AMNov 8, 06:53 PMNov 9, 03:47 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Houston in the entire men's college basketball game between Houston and California scheduled for 2026-11-08 at 7:30 p.m. CT is above 15.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Houston's score minus California's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Margin_Classdocx_0e17934c-24ae-4b91-99e3-4c46d7d5d741.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket settles on NCAA/final score and has a specific no-result fallback by Nov. 10; Gemini uses a broader source hierarchy and a market review process if the game is cancelled or otherwise unresolved. These are settlement differences only and do not change the underlying spread question.
  • Houston Cougars vs California Golden Bears: spread: Houston Cougars (-15.5)

    In the upcoming CBB game between Houston Cougars and California Golden Bears, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Houston Cougars" if the Houston Cougars win the game by 16 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "California Golden Bears". The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Geminithis market

    Houston vs California: spread: Houston (-15.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Houston in the entire men's college basketball game between Houston and California scheduled for 2026-11-08 at 7:30 p.m. CT is above 15.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Houston's score minus California's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Margin_Classdocx_0e17934c-24ae-4b91-99e3-4c46d7d5d741.pdf).

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As of Nov 10, 09:48 PM UTC