Arkansas vs Virginia: spread: Virginia (-3.5)

Virginia (-3.5)100%
Arkansas (+3.5)0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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ResolvesNov 10, 20264 hours ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 7, 04:34 PMNov 8, 01:57 AMNov 8, 11:19 AMNov 8, 08:42 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Virginia in the entire men's college basketball game between Arkansas and Virginia scheduled for 2026-11-08 at 12:00 p.m. CT is above 3.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Virginia's score minus Arkansas's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Margin_Classdocx_0e17934c-24ae-4b91-99e3-4c46d7d5d741.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket settles directly to one of the two teams and has a no-result 50-50 rule if the game is canceled or not started by a deadline; Gemini pays Yes/No on the same score differential and uses its own review process if the result cannot be determined. The criteria differ in settlement mechanics only, not in the event or line.
  • Arkansas Razorbacks vs Virginia Cavaliers: spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)

    In the upcoming CBB game between Arkansas Razorbacks and Virginia Cavaliers, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Virginia Cavaliers" if the Virginia Cavaliers win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arkansas Razorbacks". The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

  • Geminithis market

    Arkansas vs Virginia: spread: Virginia (-3.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Virginia in the entire men's college basketball game between Arkansas and Virginia scheduled for 2026-11-08 at 12:00 p.m. CT is above 3.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Virginia's score minus Arkansas's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAA), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Margin_Classdocx_0e17934c-24ae-4b91-99e3-4c46d7d5d741.pdf).

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As of Nov 10, 09:58 PM UTC