Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?

Yes88%
No13%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

24h volume$6.9K
7d volume$18K
30d volume$18K
Liquidity$55.7K
Spread1%
ResolvesDec 1, 2026in 20 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 7, 10:09 AMNov 7, 08:21 PMNov 8, 06:33 AMNov 8, 04:45 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered.

Read the full rules

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Sourcehttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Both resolve on Binance BTC/USDT 1m low prices through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of November 2026, with a Yes if the low is at or below $75,000 at any point in that window. The venues differ only in phrasing the start time as publication date vs market creation; this is not material to the comparison.
  • Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?

    ### **Market Details:** - **Market Period:** From the publication date through November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Market Close:** November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. - **Resolution Time:** November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. ### **Market Targets:** - This event contains multiple independent BTC/USDT price outcomes. - Each outcome resolves independently as either “**Yes**” or “**No**”. ### **Resolution Criteria:** - Outcomes resolve to **“Yes”** if the Binance BTC/USDT Low candle price (L) is below or equal to the respective outcome at any point during the Market Period. - Outcomes resolve to **“No”** if not. ### **Resolution Details:** - Only the Binance BTC/USDT spot price chart will be considered, specifically: - **One minute candles ("1m")** - **“Trading View”** - **Low candle price (L)** - **Newly Added Outcomes:** Any outcome added after the event is first published—including outcomes with the same price target as previously resolved outcomes—will only consider price action occurring after that outcome is published and before the Market Close. Earlier price action, including any price movement that resolved a previous outcome with the same value, will not be considered. ### **Cancellation Conditions:** - The BTC/USDT spot market on Binance is suspended or becomes unreliable. - The Binance platform is unavailable or experiences significant disruptions during the Market Period. - Any circumstance prevents reliable price tracking during the Market Period. If the market is cancelled, participants can claim their stakes at the then-current market value of their shares, which could result in a profit or a loss depending on the price of those shares at cancellation.

    read Nov 10, 09:30 PM UTC

  • Polymarketthis market

    Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

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As of Nov 10, 09:34 PM UTC