Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026?

No89%
Yes11%

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Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 7Nov 8Nov 9Nov 10Nov 10Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio ceases to be U.S. Secretary of State for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Read the full rules

An announcement of Marco Rubio's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Marco Rubio and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The published resolution criteria are materially identical. Polymarket lists a specific settlement time (2027-01-01 04:59:00+00:00) while PredictFun leaves resolvesAt null, but both use the same end date and same sources/rules.
  • Predict.funthis market

    Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio ceases to be U.S. Secretary of State for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Marco Rubio's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Marco Rubio and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    read Nov 10, 12:40 PM UTC

  • Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026?

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio ceases to be U.S. Secretary of State for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Marco Rubio's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Marco Rubio and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 9 hours ago
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As of Nov 10, 09:34 PM UTC