Italy vs France: France wins

Yes56%
No45%

Price checked at

24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread—
ResolvesNov 13, 2026in 3 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 7Nov 8Nov 9Nov 10Nov 10

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 12, 2026, 19:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Limitless differ on settlement handling: Kalshi mentions a fair-price resolution if the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than 48 hours away, while Limitless keeps the market open for postponements and uses official final results for abandoned/canceled/awarded matches when recognized. These are material settlement differences only; the underlying question is the same.
  • France wins

    If France wins the Italy vs France professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Italy vs France professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Nov 10, 06:15 PM UTC

  • Limitlessthis market

    Italy vs France: France wins

    This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 12, 2026, 19:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

    5 holders · read Nov 10, 09:27 PM UTC

Venue activity

Read from the venue 36 minutes ago
Holders5
Held value$361
Trades (24h)—
Trades5
Open interest—
Comments0

Best bid 53% · best ask 58%

Top holders

  • 0x4B6a2A264fA048d08Fd773ca37B3597cae4d61BAYes$195
  • 0xFA3FC5C6201c7a845B93dDe251B1b6439a4d4027No$150
  • 0x3773E5E153A416443C4f23E8d3514af7dD6b565eYes$10
  • 0xB3024aC7e204168416448f0a723580aA48b55E40Yes$3
  • pouriaYes$3

A snapshot of positions, not a track record.

Recent trades

  • —59%$107 hours ago
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  • —59%$323 hours ago
  • —56%$3yesterday

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As of Nov 10, 10:02 PM UTC