Will Christopher Landau leaves Deputy Secretary of State in before 2027?
No78%
Christopher Landau22%
Price checked at
24h volume$111
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$5
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 1, 2027in 2 months
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Christopher Landau leaves as Deputy Secretary of State before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Read the full rules
Christopher Landau must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.
If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 hours ago
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