Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027?
No79%
Yes22%
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24h volume$14.8K
7d volume$62.9K
30d volume$62.9K
Liquidity$71.7K
Spread1%
ResolvesApr 1, 2027in 5 months
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio ceases to be U.S. Secretary of State for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
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An announcement of Marco Rubio's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Marco Rubio and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Comparable, not identical. Both resolve on Rubio ceasing to be Secretary of State by 11:59 PM ET on March 31, 2027, and both use official information with credible reporting allowed. One venue explicitly lists the UTC resolvesAt timestamp; that is a timing metadata difference only.
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio ceases to be U.S. Secretary of State for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Marco Rubio's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Marco Rubio and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
read Nov 10, 12:40 PM UTC
this market
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio ceases to be U.S. Secretary of State for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Marco Rubio's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Marco Rubio and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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