Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Raiders and 49ers, scheduled for November 8 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jack Bech scores 2 or more rushing or receiving touchdowns in this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi uses a fair-market-price rule if Bech is active but never takes a snap and excludes certain special-teams fake-punt/field-goal touchdowns; Polymarket resolves No if he is inactive or does not play and excludes defensive and special-teams touchdowns. Both otherwise tie resolution to the same game and same 2+ touchdown threshold.
If Jack Bech scores at least 2+ touchdowns in the Las Vegas vs San Francisco Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to Jack Bech in the Las Vegas vs San Francisco Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026. If Jack Bech is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Jack Bech takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on touchdowns scored. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count as a special teams touchdown.
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this market
Jack Bech: 2+ Touchdowns
In the upcoming NFL football game between Raiders and 49ers, scheduled for November 8 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jack Bech scores 2 or more rushing or receiving touchdowns in this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
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