Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Buccaneers and Bears, scheduled for November 8 at 8:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Payne Durham scores 1 or more rushing or receiving touchdowns in this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Polymarket use the same underlying game and touchdown threshold, but differ in settlement source/time and in minor rule wording; both exclude non-player touchdowns in material effect.
If Payne Durham scores at least 1+ touchdowns in the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to Payne Durham in the Tampa Bay vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026. If Payne Durham is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Payne Durham takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on touchdowns scored. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count as a special teams touchdown.
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this market
Payne Durham: Anytime Touchdown
In the upcoming NFL football game between Buccaneers and Bears, scheduled for November 8 at 8:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Payne Durham scores 1 or more rushing or receiving touchdowns in this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
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