Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Jets and Chiefs, scheduled for November 8 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mason Taylor scores the first rushing or receiving touchdown in this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. If the first touchdown is a passing touchdown, only the player credited with the receiving touchdown counts as the first touchdown scorer. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the "Other" outcome resolves "Yes".
Comparable, not identical. They use different settlement rules and sources, but both resolve on the same underlying event: Mason Taylor being the first touchdown scorer in the Nov. 8 Jets-Chiefs game. Polymarket cites NFL.com and gives explicit inactive/postponement/cancellation rules; Kalshi has a different no-snap/fair-market-price fallback and a slightly different cutoff time.
this market
Will Mason Taylor score the first touchdown?
In the upcoming NFL football game between Jets and Chiefs, scheduled for November 8 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mason Taylor scores the first rushing or receiving touchdown in this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. If the first touchdown is a passing touchdown, only the player credited with the receiving touchdown counts as the first touchdown scorer. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the "Other" outcome resolves "Yes".
New York J vs Kansas City: 1st Touchdown: Mason Taylor: 1st Touchdown
If Mason Taylor scores the first touchdown in New York J vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to Mason Taylor in the New York J vs Kansas City professional football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026. If Mason Taylor is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Mason Taylor takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on touchdowns scored. If no touchdowns are scored in the game, the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes and all other player markets resolve to No. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count as a special teams touchdown.
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