Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Rams and Commanders, scheduled for November 8 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chig Okonkwo scores the first rushing or receiving touchdown in this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. If the first touchdown is a passing touchdown, only the player credited with the receiving touchdown counts as the first touchdown scorer. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the "Other" outcome resolves "Yes".
Comparable, not identical. They differ in settlement details: Polymarket limits to rushing/receiving first TDs and says inactive/no play resolves No, while Kalshi includes its own no-snap/fair-market-price rule and special cases for no-touchdown games. Both target the same game and first-touchdown question.
this market
Will Chig Okonkwo score the first touchdown?
In the upcoming NFL football game between Rams and Commanders, scheduled for November 8 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chig Okonkwo scores the first rushing or receiving touchdown in this game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. If the first touchdown is a passing touchdown, only the player credited with the receiving touchdown counts as the first touchdown scorer. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the "Other" outcome resolves "Yes".
Los Angeles R vs Washington: 1st Touchdown: Chig Okonkwo: 1st Touchdown
If Chig Okonkwo scores the first touchdown in Los Angeles R vs Washington Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to Chig Okonkwo in the Los Angeles R vs Washington professional football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026. If Chig Okonkwo is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Chig Okonkwo takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on touchdowns scored. If no touchdowns are scored in the game, the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes and all other player markets resolve to No. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count as a special teams touchdown.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minute
Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.