Virginia wins

Virginia99%
No1%

Price has not been independently checked yet.

This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
24h volume$216.9K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$0
Spread—
ResolvesNov 8, 20262 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Virginia wins the Arkansas vs Virginia men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Read the full rules

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi and Gemini use different settlement timing and source language, and they differ on how unresolved/cancelled events are handled. These criteria do not change the underlying question: whether Virginia wins the specified game.
  • Kalshithis market

    Virginia wins

    If Virginia wins the Arkansas vs Virginia men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Arkansas vs Virginia: Virginia wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Virginia wins the men's college basketball game between Virginia and Arkansas originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Win-Lose_Classdocx_893b1bbb-20f3-490c-81bb-650735bfb0f4.pdf)

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As of Nov 10, 09:56 PM UTC