Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming NFL football game between Lions and Dolphins, scheduled for November 8 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Malik Washington records more than 5.5 receptions in this game, and to "Under" if Malik Washington records 5.5 or fewer receptions. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket resolves on whether Malik Washington has more than 5.5 receptions in that game; Kalshi pays linearly per reception in the same game, capped at 20. The published criteria differ in payout structure, not in the underlying event being measured.
this market
Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 5.5
In the upcoming NFL football game between Lions and Dolphins, scheduled for November 8 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Malik Washington records more than 5.5 receptions in this game, and to "Under" if Malik Washington records 5.5 or fewer receptions. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
If Each Yes contract pays $0.05 per reception recorded by Malik Washington during the Detroit vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
This is a scalar market. The Yes payout per contract is $0.05 per reception constrained between $0.00–$1.00 with a cap at 20 receptions. The No payout is $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the size of the holder's position. For example, 8 receptions pays Yes $0.40 and No $0.60; 11 receptions pays Yes $0.55 and No $0.45; zero receptions pay Yes $0.00 and No $1.00.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NFL. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Venue activity
Read from the venue this minute
Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.