Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Ottawa wins the Washington vs Ottawa NHL game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Read the full rules
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi settles on the official final result with a 48-hour postponement rule and fair-price handling if cancelled/not started; Gemini uses the NHL/other listed sources and its own review process for cancellation/forfeit edge cases. These resolution criteria differ in procedure only, not in the question asked.
this market
Ottawa wins
If Ottawa wins the Washington vs Ottawa NHL game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.
If Ottawa wins the Pro Hockey game between Ottawa and Washington originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, it will resolve to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NHL), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NHL_Win_Lose_Class_f11866d9-f4df-4a25-b727-a0d488f72f5d.pdf)
Venue activity
Read from the venue 4 hours ago
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