Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming CBB game between Yale Bulldogs and Baylor Bears, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If the Yale Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to "Yale Bulldogs".
If the Baylor Bears win, the market will resolve to "Baylor Bears".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Comparable, not identical. Gemini settles from official result with a source hierarchy and market review process if the result cannot be determined; Polymarket uses official sources and includes explicit no-result provisions (50-50 if canceled/abandoned by a deadline). These are settlement-rule differences only, not a different underlying question.
This market resolves to Yes if Yale wins the men's college basketball game between Yale and Baylor originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Win-Lose_Classdocx_893b1bbb-20f3-490c-81bb-650735bfb0f4.pdf)
this market
Yale Bulldogs vs Baylor Bears: Yale Bulldogs wins
In the upcoming CBB game between Yale Bulldogs and Baylor Bears, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If the Yale Bulldogs win, the market will resolve to "Yale Bulldogs".
If the Baylor Bears win, the market will resolve to "Baylor Bears".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
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