Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Dayton wins the Davidson vs Dayton college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Read the full rules
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours; Gemini may use its Market Outcome Review Process if the result cannot be determined on the expiration date. The published criteria differ only in settlement mechanics, not in the event or outcome being priced.
this market
Dayton wins
If Dayton wins the Davidson vs Dayton college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
This market resolves to Yes if Dayton wins the College Football game between Dayton and Davidson originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event . If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).
read Nov 10, 08:35 PM UTC
Venue activity
Read from the venue 2 hours ago
Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.
this market