Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Oregon wins the Michigan vs Oregon college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Read the full rules
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi settles on the official final result and has a specific postponement/cancellation rule; Novig uses its rulebook and fair-market-value void handling; Gemini names multiple source agencies and a review process for undetermined outcomes. These differences are about resolution, not the question asked.
this market
Oregon wins
If Oregon wins the Michigan vs Oregon college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Novig NCAAF money market on Oregon vs Michigan, scheduled 2026-11-14 20:30 UTC. Sides: Oregon / Michigan. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.
This market resolves to Yes if Oregon wins the College Football game between Oregon and Michigan originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event . If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).
read Nov 10, 04:09 PM UTC
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