Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between Alabama and Vanderbilt, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
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This market will resolve to "Over" if Alabama and Vanderbilt combine to score 74 or more points in this game.
If the combined total is less than 74, this market will resolve to "Under".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket settles from ncaa.com with a no-result rule if the game is canceled/abandoned; Gemini uses a source hierarchy and an exchange review process if the value cannot be determined. Their listed settlement times differ, but that does not change the question asked.
this market
Alabama vs Vanderbilt: total O/U 73.5
In the upcoming college football game between Alabama and Vanderbilt, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Over" if Alabama and Vanderbilt combine to score 74 or more points in this game.
If the combined total is less than 74, this market will resolve to "Under".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market resolves to Yes if Alabama and Vanderbilt collectively score over 73.5 total points in the college football game between Alabama and Vanderbilt scheduled for 2026-11-14 at 11:45 a.m. CT. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the total points scored by both teams for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Point_Total_Class_b23bc807-8bb2-4c32-a1b7-040c83d433ec.pdf).
read Nov 10, 12:36 PM UTC
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