Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between Alabama and Vanderbilt, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
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This market will resolve to "Over" if Alabama and Vanderbilt combine to score 68 or more points in this game.
If the combined total is less than 68, this market will resolve to "Under".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ only in settlement details: Gemini cites multiple source agencies and a market review process for unresolved cases, Polymarket uses NCAA.com and a 50-50 no-result rule, and Novig uses its rulebook with fair-market-value void treatment. These are not material differences in the question being asked.
This market resolves to Yes if Alabama and Vanderbilt collectively score over 67.5 total points in the college football game between Alabama and Vanderbilt scheduled for 2026-11-14 at 11:45 a.m. CT. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the total points scored by both teams for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Point_Total_Class_b23bc807-8bb2-4c32-a1b7-040c83d433ec.pdf).
read Nov 10, 12:35 PM UTC
this market
Alabama vs Vanderbilt: total O/U 67.5
In the upcoming college football game between Alabama and Vanderbilt, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Over" if Alabama and Vanderbilt combine to score 68 or more points in this game.
If the combined total is less than 68, this market will resolve to "Under".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Novig NCAAF total market on Vanderbilt vs Alabama, scheduled 2026-11-14 17:45 UTC. Sides: Over 67.5 / Under 67.5. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.
read Nov 10, 08:07 PM UTC
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