James Madison vs UConn: spread: James Madison (-4.5)
UConn52%
James Madison48%
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24h volume$10
7d volume$10
30d volume$10
Liquidity$16.1K
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 14, 2026in 4 days
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between James Madison and UConn, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
Read the full rules
This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game by 5 or more points.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "UConn".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Comparable, not identical. They differ only on resolution mechanics: Polymarket cites NCAA.com and has a 50-50 no-result rule; Gemini uses a source hierarchy and market review process; Kalshi resolves to fair price if not started within 48 hours. These are not material differences in the question asked.
this market
James Madison vs UConn: spread: James Madison (-4.5)
In the upcoming college football game between James Madison and UConn, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "James Madison" if James Madison win the game by 5 or more points.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "UConn".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
James Madison vs UConn: spread: James Madison (-4.5)
This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of James Madison in the entire college football game between James Madison and UConn scheduled for 2026-11-14 at 11:00 a.m. CT is above 4.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (James Madison's score minus UConn's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).
James Madison vs UConn: Spread: spread: James Madison (-4.5)
If James Madison wins by more than 4.5 points in the James Madison vs UConn college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
read Nov 10, 04:52 PM UTC
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