Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming CBB game between Eastern Illinois Panthers and Notre Dame Fighting Irish, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If the Eastern Illinois Panthers win, the market will resolve to "Eastern Illinois Panthers".
If the Notre Dame Fighting Irish win, the market will resolve to "Notre Dame Fighting Irish".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Comparable, not identical. They use different resolution sources and slightly different no-result rules: Gemini references league/ESPN/Fox/broadcast and a market review process, Polymarket uses NCAA and resolves 50-50 for cancellation/abandonment by a deadline, and Kalshi uses official final result with a 48-hour postponement window and fair-price settlement if canceled.
Eastern Illinois vs Notre Dame: Eastern Illinois wins
This market resolves to Yes if Eastern Illinois wins the men's college basketball game between Eastern Illinois and Notre Dame originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules.](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_MB_Win-Lose_Classdocx_893b1bbb-20f3-490c-81bb-650735bfb0f4.pdf)
In the upcoming CBB game between Eastern Illinois Panthers and Notre Dame Fighting Irish, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
If the Eastern Illinois Panthers win, the market will resolve to "Eastern Illinois Panthers".
If the Notre Dame Fighting Irish win, the market will resolve to "Notre Dame Fighting Irish".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
If Eastern Illinois wins the Eastern Illinois vs Notre Dame men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
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