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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming college football game between Buffalo and Ball State, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
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This market will resolve to "Buffalo" if Buffalo win the game by 21 or more points.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ball State".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
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this market
Buffalo vs Ball State: spread: Buffalo (-20.5)
In the upcoming college football game between Buffalo and Ball State, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Buffalo" if Buffalo win the game by 21 or more points.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ball State".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Buffalo in the entire college football game between Buffalo and Ball State scheduled for 2026-11-11 at 6:30 p.m. CT is above 20.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Buffalo's score minus Ball State's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).
read Nov 10, 02:33 PM UTC
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