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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Novig UFC money market on Evan Elder vs Samuel Sanches, scheduled 2026-11-14 22:00 UTC. Sides: Evan Elder / Samuel Sanches. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.
Comparable, not identical. They differ only in resolution mechanics: Polymarket and Gemini specify official UFC/media fallback rules and explicit draw/no-contest handling, while Novig references its rulebook and fair-market-value void treatment. Settlement times differ, but the underlying event and winning side are the same.
this market
Evan Elder vs Samuel Sanches: Evan Elder wins
Novig UFC money market on Evan Elder vs Samuel Sanches, scheduled 2026-11-14 22:00 UTC. Sides: Evan Elder / Samuel Sanches. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.
UFC 334: Evan Elder vs. Samuel Sanches (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
This market will resolve to "Evan Elder" if Evan Elder is officially declared the winner of the fight against Samuel Sanches at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026.
It will resolve to "Samuel Sanches" if Samuel Sanches is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market resolves to Yes if Evan Elder wins the Elder vs Sanches professional MMA fight scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)
read Nov 10, 11:19 AM UTC
Venue activity
Read from the venue 53 minutes ago
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Best bid 53% · best ask 53%
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