Beatriz Mesquita vs Macy Chiasson: Beatriz Mesquita wins
Beatriz Mesquita69%
Macy Chiasson31%
Price checked at
24h volume$228
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$328
Spread2%
ResolvesNov 14, 2026in 4 days
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Novig UFC money market on Beatriz Mesquita vs Macy Chiasson, scheduled 2026-11-14 22:40 UTC. Sides: Beatriz Mesquita / Macy Chiasson. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.
Comparable, not identical. The venues differ only on resolution mechanics: Novig settles by its exchange rulebook and says voids pay fair market value; Kalshi and Gemini publish specific draw/no-contest, postponement, and cancellation rules, with different settlement times and sources. These are material only to settlement, not to the underlying question.
this market
Beatriz Mesquita vs Macy Chiasson: Beatriz Mesquita wins
Novig UFC money market on Beatriz Mesquita vs Macy Chiasson, scheduled 2026-11-14 22:40 UTC. Sides: Beatriz Mesquita / Macy Chiasson. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.
If Beatriz Mesquita wins the Macy Chiasson vs Beatriz Mesquita professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the fight ends in a draw/no contest, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Note that any revisions after Expiration will not be considered. Therefore, if a fighter is disqualified, removed, or the official result of the fight is reversed or changed in any way after the Contract expires, that will not impact resolution. If the fight is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the fight is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price.
This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
This market resolves to Yes if Beatriz Mesquita wins the Chiasson vs Mesquita professional MMA fight scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)
read Nov 10, 12:06 PM UTC
Venue activity
Read from the venue 1 hour ago
Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0
Best bid 30% · best ask 32%
Discussion on Predxy
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