Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke: Stephen Thompson wins
Stephen Thompson59%
Charles Radtke42%
Price checked at
24h volume$4.5K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.3K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 15, 2026in 4 days
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
Novig UFC money market on Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke, scheduled 2026-11-15 01:00 UTC. Sides: Stephen Thompson / Charles Radtke. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.
Comparable, not identical. Venues differ on settlement details: Novig uses its exchange rulebook and fair-market-value voiding, while Polymarket and Limitless use official UFC results with draw/NC/postponement handling, and Gemini uses third-party sources plus different delay/cancel rules. These criteria differ in no material way for the underlying win/loss question.
this market
Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke: Stephen Thompson wins
Novig UFC money market on Stephen Thompson vs Charles Radtke, scheduled 2026-11-15 01:00 UTC. Sides: Stephen Thompson / Charles Radtke. A void settles every outcome at its fair market value, not a refund. The exchange's rulebook governs settlement.
UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)
This market will resolve to "Stephen Thompson" if Stephen Thompson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Charles Radtke at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026.
It will resolve to "Charles Radtke" if Charles Radtke is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)
This market will resolve to "Stephen Thompson" if Stephen Thompson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Charles Radtke at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Charles Radtke" if Charles Radtke is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market resolves to Yes if Stephen Thompson wins the Thompson vs Radtke professional MMA fight scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)
read Nov 10, 11:29 AM UTC
Venue activity
Read from the venue 46 minutes ago
Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0
Best bid 58% · best ask 59%
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