Will Sri Lanka win?

No—
Yes—

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Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Test Match cricket match between Pakistan and Sri Lanka, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Read the full rules

DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.

If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw.

If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve to draw. If the match otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. PredictFun and Polymarket use the same underlying match and official-result source, with draw/no-result rules that resolve to draw. Kalshi uses the same match question but routes draw/tie to a separate market and uses fair-market-price settlement for some cancellation/delay cases.
  • Sri Lanka wins

    If Sri Lanka wins the Pakistan vs Sri Lanka men's professional Test series cricket match originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026 at 11:30 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a draw or tie, the market titled "Draw/Tie" will resolve Yes. If the match is cancelled prior to scheduled commencement, or is abandoned prior to the toss (i.e. the toss does not occur) and no official result is declared by the governing body, then all markets will resolve to a fair market price. If the match is delayed for more than 5 days from its original scheduled start time before commencement, then all markets will resolve to a fair market price. If the match is abandoned after the toss has occurred, markets will resolve based on the official result recorded by the governing body of the relevant competition. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Nov 10, 06:11 PM UTC

  • Will Sri Lanka win?

    In the upcoming Test Match cricket match between Pakistan and Sri Lanka, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve to draw. If the match otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

  • Predict.funthis market

    Will Sri Lanka win?

    In the upcoming Test Match cricket match between Pakistan and Sri Lanka, originally scheduled for Monday, November 9, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the match is canceled, does not start by Wednesday, November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market will resolve to draw. If the match otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

    read Nov 10, 11:29 AM UTC

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As of Nov 10, 08:06 PM UTC