KalshiOpen

Best AI at end of November 2026? ChatGPT

No97%
ChatGPT3%

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24h volume$5.5K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$249
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 30, 2026in 28 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 1, 10:25 PMNov 2, 06:57 AMNov 2, 03:29 PMNov 3, 12:01 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If OpenAI has the top-ranked LLM on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Best AI at end of November 2026? GeminiKalshi67% GeminiOpen
Best AI at end of November 2026? MuseKalshi98% NoOpen
Best AI at end of November 2026? ClaudeKalshi72% NoOpen
Best AI at end of November 2026? GrokKalshi99% NoOpen
Best AI at end of November 2026? KimiKalshi99% NoOpen
Best AI at end of November 2026? QwenKalshi99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Nov 3, 12:16 AM UTC