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Will James Fishback endorse Ashley Moody in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election before Nov 3, 2026?

No95%
Ashley Moody5%

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24h volume$25
7d volume—
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Spread91%
ResolvesNov 3, 2026tomorrow

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Nov 1, 07:10 PMNov 1, 10:08 PMNov 2, 01:06 AMNov 2, 04:04 AM

No recorded data before Nov 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If James Fishback publicly endorses Ashley Moody in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An "endorsement" requires: A clear, affirmative statement of support for Ashley Moody's election The statement must be public (not private communications) The endorsement must specifically reference the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election or be clearly in context of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election The endorsement must come directly from James Fishback or through his official channels The following scenarios would resolve to YES: James Fishback states "I endorse Ashley Moody" James Fishback states "I support Ashley Moody" with clear reference to the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election James Fishback states "I'm voting for Ashley Moody" publicly James Fishback states "Ashley Moody has my full support" for the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election James Fishback appears at campaign events specifically to endorse Ashley Moody James Fishback allows his name or image to be used in Ashley Moody's campaign materials The following do NOT count: Positive comments without explicit support Policy endorsements without an endorsement of the candidate Likes or retweets alone, or posts from unverified accounts (quote posts with added supportive commentary do count) Statements of obvious sarcasm, or statements immediately followed by a clarification that James Fishback is joking An endorsement conditioned only on Ashley Moody entering or remaining in the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election qualifies once the statement is confirmed. An endorsement subject to any other condition does not qualify.

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As of Nov 2, 04:45 AM UTC