KalshiOpen
Will there be more than 220 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026? Above 220
No91%
Above 2209%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$801
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$1.8K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 10, 2026in 9 days
Probability history
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No recorded data before Nov 1 in this window.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 220 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Other legs of this event
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As of Nov 1, 02:26 PM UTC