KalshiOpen
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026? Above 3
Above 392%
No8%
Price checked at
Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$444
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$38K
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 10, 2026in 9 days
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
No recorded data before Nov 1 in this window.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 3 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue this minuteHolders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0
Discussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Nov 1, 02:40 PM UTC